The #1 reason people are NOT buying BTC is a SELF FULFILLING PROPHECY that ENDS in 4 months

Published June 9, 2026

  • YouTube Video Transcript

    The number one reason people are not buying Bitcoin right now is a self-fulfilling prophecy that ends in less than four months. So, what is it? It is the mythical Bitcoin 4-year price cycle, which admittedly has kind of been a thing historically. Bit Bitcoin was up in uh 2010, 11, and 12 uh sorry, 11, 12, and 13, down in 2014, up in uh 15, 16, and 17, down in 2018, up in 19, 20, and 2021, down in 2022, up in 20 uh 23 and 2024, but it was actually down in 2025. Bitcoin was down 6% for the year. So you could say, well, the Bitcoin price cycle is already broken because the up three, down one, up three, down one, up three, down one was already an up two, down one. But there’s a huge number of people on the internet and around the world that are very attached to the Bitcoin 4-year price cycle. And part of the old pattern, which has already broken, but again, people are not willing to give it up. Part of that old pattern is a belief that there is on average uh the longest time period between the highs and the lows is four uh 364 days. So they’re looking at it and saying okay the high was October 6 of 2025. That means the low is probably October 4 which is 364 days later. Uh October 4 of 2026 which is less than four months away. It’s actually 3.88 months away. It’s 118 days. 118 days from now, you can make it. I promise. Okay. So, the number one reason if you look at any of my Facebook posts, you get this chorus of people saying, “Buying now is too early. It could go lower between now and October 4.” You know, you’re too early, bud. Wait four months. Bro, what are you doing? Why don’t you wait four months? Like there’s just this chorus of people who all either sold their Bitcoin last year and are planning to buy it back or have decided that the additional Bitcoin that they’re going to buy, they want to buy at the really really really bottom which I would argue was probably, you know, 59 60,000 uh which we hit first in on October 5th and second this past weekend, but that 59 to 60,000 I think there’s a good chance that’s the lowest it ever goes this cycle. And it hit it twice again. and it hit 60,000 February 5th. It hit 59,000 uh this past weekend. Uh I think that probably was the low, but there’s just too many people all over the planet since we’re Bitcoin is a global asset that have noticed this Bitcoin price pattern and they’ve said, “Yeah, look, I get it. I get it. Even though the pattern sort of broke with 2025, we still think the bare market part of the pattern is going to hold up.” And the difference between the high and the low in 2021 was I guess it was 364 days. Anyway, that seems to be the numbers everybody’s throwing around is the magic 364 days. So, they’re like, “Look, if it was 364 days from the all-time high to the all time to the low of that price cycle, why would that not be the case that this time?” And so, they’re all waiting around for October 4th to roll around thinking they’re going to buy Bitcoin at an even bigger discount than they are right now. Now, I don’t think they are. I think there’s a very good chance that we’re going to be much higher than 59 or $60,000 and that we are not going to revisit those price levels. And just like the four-year price cycle broke in 2025, which would have been an upyear based on the pattern, but was actually down by 6%. I I think the same thing is going to be true here that the Bitcoin bare market is is going to break everybody’s, you know, guessing game. It’s going to break their price cycle prediction abilities. And I think we’re going to end up with something more like eight months, which was uh 126,000 on October 6th all the way down to this past weekend, roughly, let’s call it roughly June 6. So 8 months later, you get the final capitulation down to 59,000. I think there’s a good chance that was the low. And I think all these people are going to miss out. And what’s going to happen is as soon as the Bitcoin price really starts to move, they’re going to realize they’re missing out. So, if we go from the 60s into the 70s into the 80s, at some point all these people waiting around for October 4 are all going to watch the train leaving the station, realize they’re missing the bus. They’re, you know, uh, trains leaving the station, they’re missing the boat, they’re missing the bus, etc. And they’re going to pile in. They’re going to say, “Crap, I was wrong. Uh, you know, waiting around till October 4 ended up being a stupid idea, and if I wait any longer, I’m going to be stuck buying Bitcoin at significantly higher prices.” So, they start piling in. And just like it is a self-fulfilling prophecy on the bottom side where if enough people are refusing to buy Bitcoin waiting for early October, the same the reverse is true. When everybody starts concluding that they were wrong about waiting till early October, they start piling in ahead of early October and then the price goes up because everybody’s piling in because they’re afraid they’re going to miss it. So I think that’s the likely how this plays out here. Again, World War III or all sorts of things could sort of throw a wrench in all of it. But again, the Bitcoin price cycle has already been proven wrong because 2025 was down 6% and not up by 60% or some, you know, large number. Um, so the the four-year price cycle’s already broken. If you want to understand the Bitcoin four-year price cycle, read VJ Boyat’s book, The Bullish Case for Bitcoin. That’s VJ Vijay. VJ Boya, the bullish case for Bitcoin. Highly recommended. It’s on Audible. It’s only 2 hours and 14 minutes long. You can listen at 1.5 speed, 2x, whatever you listen at. Uh you can read it, read it in book form or on Kindle. Fantastic book. Explains the Bitcoin for your price cycle. It’ll help you understand exactly why we are where we are. Uh it’ll make you feel a lot better about the current Bitcoin price. Uh because instead of it feeling random, it’s like, oh, the current Bitcoin price makes perfect sense based on human psychology and and history. It makes perfect sense why Bitcoin would be in the low 60,000s right now. So go read that book. But in my opinion, we are past the four-year cycle. Uh it already would did not serve us well uh predicting the outcome of 2025. I predict it will not serve us well predicting the outcome of 2026. I think the people waiting around 364 days until October 4th looking for the perfect perfect uh bottom of the market buying opportunity, I think they’ve already missed that chance. And uh again, but self-fulfilling prophecies are powerful. Anytime you get people where the price rises and they think, “Oo, I’m going to sell my Bitcoin and buy it back closer to October 6 for cheaper.” If enough people think that way, then when Bitcoin is still a very small and young asset, it affects the price. Now, in the future, Bitcoin will be so large that that sort of simple-minded thinking will not affect the price because all the simple-minded people in the world just are not there’s just not enough of them to affect the Bitcoin price. But right now, Bitcoin is small, it’s young, it’s early in Bitcoin’s life cycle. And therefore, the effects of, you know, people who think that way, even if it’s not rigorous thinking, uh, does affect the price. So, read B VJ Boyat’s book, The Bullish Case for Bitcoin. I would not wait around for October 4th, but regardless, it’ll be over in 118 days. So, just like my past political campaigns, I’ve won seats in the House of Representatives here in Mississippi twice, and I’ve been involved in other much larger uh campaign activities. Uh somewhere about this time, about 118 days out, you start asking Siri every single day, how many days until X date? And so I will be asking Siri a bunch of times between now and October 4, how many days until October 4, knowing that when we finally get past or we finally close the difference distance to October 4, all this chorus of voices on Facebook and Twitter are going to stop saying that the four-year cycles predicts the future and that they’re waiting for lower prices because they the time clock will have run out and they’re either getting off the train or getting on the train, but at least I’ll be done hearing their chorus of voices telling me we’re still too early and the price will go lower, which again I don’t not I do not think is true. So my advice stays the same. Buy as much Bitcoin as you can, hold on to it for as long as conceivably possible. I do not think the Bitcoin four-year cycle is a thing, but it is you should read VJ Boyat’s book, The Bullish Case for Bitcoin to understand what it is and why Bitcoin is behaving the way it is. But again, I think all the people that think they’re going to wait 364 days till October 4 for cheaper prices, I think they are all going to get left behind. But self-fulfilling prophecies are powerful as has proven to be the case over the last eight months. So let me know if you have questions.

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The content provided in this post is for educational purposes only. It should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor, and all opinions expressed are my own. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Investing in Bitcoin or any other assets carries risk, and you should never invest more than you can afford to lose.

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