This BEAR market ENDS in 95 days!

Published July 3, 2026

  • YouTube Video Transcript

    This Bitcoin bare market ends in 95 days or less. Now, do I know that with absolute certainty? No. Markets are uncertain. Markets run on supply and demand. There’s nothing absolutely certain in a bare market. But when enough people believe the same thing with enough ferveny, it tends to become a self-fulfilling prophecy. So, in this case, if you go on Twitter or Facebook or anywhere and you talk to Bitcoiners, everybody seems to have it stuck in their head that bare markets last for 364 days on average. And they’re getting that from averaging the 2022 bare market, the 2018 bare market, some elements of the 2015 bare market. They’re jumbling them all together. Anyway, everybody seems to be fixated on this, you know, bare markets last one year. And the more sophisticated people are saying it’s not exactly one year, it’s 364 days. Well, guess what is 364 days from now? That would be October 4th. The magic or sorry, 364 days from the all-time high on October 6th, last year is October 4th of this year. And so, if the self-fulfilling prophecy comes true, then there’s a good chance that we will see a bottom on or before October 4th. Now, why do I think it’s going to be before October 4th? Because when everybody thinks the bottom might be coming October 4th, everybody starts to frontr run each other. Just like if everybody thinks the bottom of any market might be a certain number, they start to buy before it gets that number because they’re afraid everyone else is going to buy before it gets to that number and they’re going to get front ran. Well, the same thing if everybody thinks the the bottom will be either already happened just under 58,000 last night or is going to happen between now and October 4th, then people are thinking, huh, rather than wait till October 4th, I know what I’ll do. I’ll buy Bitcoin on October 1st. But of course, there’s people thinking, I’ll bet people are waiting till October. I better not risk it. I better buy in the last week of September. And you just run all of those numbers back where people are front running days, weeks, or even months ahead of everybody else. And what you get is a situation where a self-fulfilling prophecy that bare markets take a year to go from the high to the very low. You get a self-fulfilling prophecy where everybody starts front running each other all the way up to yesterday. Now, that doesn’t mean yesterday last night just under 58,000. That doesn’t mean that was the low. But at some point, everybody starts front running each other and you get a dip and a low earlier than people anticipate because everybody’s trying to frontr run each other. So, could it last longer than 95 days from now? Of course. Could it go lower than it did last night? Of course. We don’t know. We just know that if you’re sick of the pain, most people think the pain is over in less than 95 days. And if most people think that and all the people on Twitter and Facebook are bragging about how much Bitcoin they’re going to buy as soon as the price gets, you know, either lower than it currently is or closer to October 4th, then at some point it does become a self-fulfilling prophecy because the closer it gets, people start buying. And you know, there’s apparently, if you believe all the people on social media, there’s apparently a sizable amount of wealth sitting on the sidelines of people who are positive they’re going to time the bottom perfectly and buy Bitcoin as at its lowest price this year. Now, that’s a stupid strategy. Markets don’t obey calendars. You know, if one bare market is four exactly 12 months long, 364 days in this case, just under 12 months, then the one thing you can be certain of is it’s not going to do the exact same thing again. Markets do not repeat. They rhyme. Meaning, there will be things about this bare market that resemble and rhyme with the four previous bare markets, but almost certainly things are not going to line up exactly, and they already have not lined up perfectly exactly. Um, so who knows? But the short take is almost everybody thinks the pain is over in 95 days or less. I would say 95% of all the people believe that the pain is over in 95 days or less. 95 and 95. Now, could the 95% be wrong? Sure. Could a global worldwide recession mess everything up? That’s always a possibility. And in that situation, we don’t know with certainty if Bitcoin will go up or down. Maybe it will go up because everybody will be fleeing stocks and bonds and everything that’s on fire into a safe ha haven asset which would be gold and bitcoin and obviously bitcoin superior to gold. Maybe that happens but maybe the reverse happens which is everybody dumps everything other than the US dollar knowing that the dollar will lose 6 to9% of its purchasing power over the next 12 months but they don’t care because they just don’t want to lo lose 20 30 or 40% of their wealth. I don’t know. People are fickle. People do crazy things that are not expected. Nobody absolutely knows what’s going to happen. But at least 95% of the people think the pain ends of low prices in less than 95 days. And if that’s a self-fulfilling prophecy, then the prophecy comes true. But regardless, it just feels like we’re at the point where the pain, the time pain, we have the price pain down to $60,000 in February. It feels about time, but the time pain, which is where it grinds sideways and goes up and then down and then up and then down and then up and then down and it the the roller coaster just drops so many little times in a row or even a couple medium times in a row. It just makes people puke their Bitcoin all over the market. They just can’t hold it down. They vomit their Bitcoin everywhere and then people who are patient just buy it up for cheap prices and that’s, you know, then everybody’s off to the races again. So, but regardless, again, I think 95% of the people think the pain is over of low prices in less than 95 days. So, we’ll see if that’s the case. But, uh, I’m feeling quite bullish. Bullish is the opposite of bearish. Bullish means up, bearish means down. Um, and I’m feeling quite good about things. So, we’ll see how what the future holds. But, you know, if the prices do go lower, I am locked and loaded with collateral for Bitcoin backed loans. So, if uh the price goes below, you know, below 58 again, below 57, I’m locked and loaded and I’ll be buying it all the way down. I don’t care how low it goes, I will be buying it all the way down because the one thing about Bitcoin, it always comes right back up. And that’s what makes it such a great asset. And it does that because of its superior monetary properties and the superior properties of the Bitcoin network for transferring value all over the world in seconds, which nothing else can do. Literally nothing else can do what Bitcoin can do.

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The content provided in this post is for educational purposes only. It should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor, and all opinions expressed are my own. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Investing in Bitcoin or any other assets carries risk, and you should never invest more than you can afford to lose.

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